Wall Street futures slip as higher oil prices fuel inflation worries ahead of Fed meeting

Here's a summary of the Daily Edge by TradeZero:

S&P 500

  • 6,699.38 (+1.01%)

Dow Jones

  • 46,946.41 (+0.83%)

NASDAQ

  • 22,374.18 (+1.22%)

Market close: March 16, 2026

Breaking News

  • Wall Street futures slip due to higher oil prices and inflation worries ahead of Federal Reserve meeting.
  • Middle East conflict pushing oil prices near $100 a barrel, threatening the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Cooling from a tech-driven rebound; S&P 500 saw biggest one-day jump in a month.
  • Nvidia projects AI chip revenue opportunity of at least $1 trillion through 2027; shares flat premarket after 1.6% rise.

EdgeUp

  • Bitcoin surprises as oasis of calm while Iran war jolts markets: Bitcoin pushes through $75,000, gaining nearly 14% since the war, while equities, gold, and oil show volatility.
  • Goldman Sachs warns oil’s biggest shock will hurt fuels most: Disruptions from the Middle East war expected to impact refined products like jet fuel and diesel more than crude oil.
  • Beyond Meat to delay annual report as preliminary Q4 revenue misses expectations: Company struggles with softening demand, inventory review issues, shares down 4.1% in extended trading.
  • Senators tell ByteDance to immediately shut down Seedance AI video app: Concerns raised over copyright and intellectual property infringement by ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 app.
  • Upstart stock rises as analyst says investors are ignoring a key catalyst: BTIG upgrades Upstart to buy, citing potential for lower costs and reduced regulatory risks if it obtains a bank charter.
  • Alibaba launches agentic AI tool for businesses with Slack, Teams integration plans: Alibaba introduces "Wukong," an agentic AI tool for enterprises to manage tasks, addressing privacy/security concerns of AI agents.
  • Amazon launches 1 hour shipping in US cities to challenge Walmart: Amazon expands speedy delivery to 1-hour and 3-hour options in major US cities, competing with Walmart and building on 30-minute Amazon Now service.

Escalate or De-Escalate?

  • Markets closed lower for the third straight week.
  • Geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices (above $100), and shifting rate expectations weighed on sentiment.
  • Major indexes down 3-5% year-to-date, Nasdaq leading losses for growth stocks.
  • Higher energy costs reignited inflation fears, reducing expectations for Fed rate cuts.
  • Economic data (job losses, rising unemployment, lower GDP estimates) added to stagflation fears.
  • Market adjusted rate expectations from 60 to 44 basis points cut for 2026.
  • Sector rotation: energy and defensive sectors outperformed, financials, consumer discretionary, industrials lagged.
  • Despite volatility, broader trend remains constructive; S&P 500 within normal pullback range.
  • Historical patterns suggest short-term geopolitical shock effects, with markets recovering over time.

Top 5 Movers In Early Pre-Market

  • LIDR (AEye, Inc.): +36.77%
  • CTRN (Citi Trends, Inc.): +19.99%
  • PLBY (Playboy, Inc.): +15.25%
  • GLSI (Greenwich LifeSciences, Inc.): +14.86%
  • JVA (Coffee Holding Co., Inc.): +14.51%

Today’s Economic Dates

  • 10:00 AM ET: Pending home sales (Feb.)
  • 10:00 AM ET: Home builder confidence index (March)

Yesterday's’s Biggest Movers

  • ULY (Urgent.ly Inc.): +164.53% (Agero to acquire Urgent.ly for $5.50 cash per share).
  • CTMX (CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.): +44.23% (Announced proposed public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants).
  • DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.): +35.01% (Announced Q4 and full year 2025 financial results, also subject of investigation for potential securities law violations).

Today’s Notable Earnings

  • SAMG (Silvercrest Asset Mgmt Gr): Q4 2025 (Before Market Open, Estimate: 0.220)
  • LULU (Lululemon Athletica): Q4 2025 (After Market Close, Estimate: 4.770)
  • ABEO (Abeona Therapeutics): Q4 2025 (Before Market Open, Estimate: -0.360)

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